Dow Jones Futures: Tesla Deliveries Crush Views, Xpeng, Nio Sales Strong; Bring On The 2022 Market Rally

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Dow Jones futures volition unfastened Sunday evening, on with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures. Tesla deliveries blew retired Q4 forecasts Sunday pursuing beardown deliveries from Chinese EV rivals.


The banal marketplace rally roseate somewhat past week, capping a coagulated if choppy 2021. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones deed grounds highs portion the Nasdaq is close.

EV stocks are successful absorption to commencement 2022. Tesla (TSLA) delivered 308,600 vehicles successful the 4th quarter, crushing statement expert forecasts and exceeding the most-optimistic targets.

Tesla banal revved up astir Christmas, past traded tightly adjacent a trendline. That has turned into a grip buy point.

On Saturday, China startups Nio (NIO), Xpeng (XPEV) and Li Auto (LI) reported beardown December deliveries. XPEV banal and Li Auto showed bullish enactment precocious past week, portion Nio besides rebounded.

China EV elephantine BYD (BYDDF) volition apt merchandise December income aboriginal this week.

Meanwhile, DDOG banal besides has a play grip similar Tesla, portion Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is moving connected a handle-like intermission successful its abbreviated consolidation. All are uncovering enactment adjacent their 50-day lines.

Tesla and AMD banal are connected IBD Leaderboard and the IBD 50. Datadog (DDOG) was Friday's IBD Stock Of The Day.

The video embedded successful this nonfiction took a look astatine the marketplace enactment for the past week and for 2021, portion besides analyzing Tesla, AMD and Datadog.

Dow Jones Futures Today

Dow Jones futures unfastened astatine 6 p.m. ET, on with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures.

Remember that overnight enactment successful Dow futures and elsewhere doesn't needfully construe into existent trading successful the adjacent regular stock market session.

Join IBD experts arsenic they analyse actionable stocks successful the banal marketplace rally connected IBD Live

Coronavirus News

Coronavirus cases worldwide reached 289.88 million. Covid-19 deaths topped 5.45 million.

Coronavirus cases successful the U.S. person deed 55.86 million, with deaths supra 847,000.

Covid cases are surging worldwide acknowledgment to the more-infectious omicron variant, but it's besides seemingly little dangerous. Hospitalizations person increased, but not astir arsenic overmuch arsenic caller cases, with deaths inactive declining.

Stock Market Rally

The banal marketplace rally crept higher past week successful airy end-of-year volume.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average roseate 1.1% successful past week's stock marketplace trading. The S&P 500 scale climbed 0.9%. The Nasdaq composite, which started the week strong, closed down little than 0.1%. The small-cap Russell 2000 edged up 0.2%

The 10-year Treasury output roseate 2 ground points to 1.51%. Crude lipid prices roseate 1.9% to $75.21 a barrel, but ended a seven-day triumph streak with Friday's 2.3% decline.

Among the best ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) roseate 2% past week, portion the Innovator IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (BOUT) precocious 1.7%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) fell 0.7%, with DDOG banal an IGV component. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) edged up 0.2%, but remained adjacent play lows. AMD banal is simply a large SMH holding.

Reflecting more-speculative communicative stocks, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) slumped 4.5% past week and ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) 4.9%, contempt large gains connected Thursday. Tesla is inactive the No. 1 holding crossed ARK Invest's ETFs. ARK besides owns immoderate BYD and XPEV stock.

Non-tech sectors mostly fared better.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) climbed 0.9%, its 4th consecutive play gain. The Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) precocious 1.7%. U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) slid 1.4% past week. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) popped 2.9%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) precocious 1.1% and the Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) 0.6%. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) climbed 1.1%.

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Tesla EV Deliveries

Tesla's 308,600 deliveries successful the 4th fourth included 296,850 Model 3 and Y vehicles and 11,750 Model S and X luxury EVs. For the afloat year, Tesla delivered 936,172 vehicles.

Analysts officially expected Tesla to study Q4 deliveries of 276,900, according to elaborate FactSet statement figures. That included 261,400 Model 3 and Y vehicles and 15,500 Model S and X vehicles. Some Wall Street analysts and backstage forecasts saw deliveries coming successful acold northbound of 280,000, with a fewer seeing 300,000 arsenic possible.

In Q3, Tesla delivered 241,300 vehicles.

Q4 accumulation totaled 305,400, with 292,731 Model 3 and Model Y vehicles and 13,109 Model S and Model X units.

Late Thursday, Tesla announced sizable terms increases for the base-model Model 3 and Model Y successful China. The basal Model Y nary longer qualifies for China subsidies, which are 30% little successful 2022.

Tesla banal surged from its Dec. 21 debased to its Dec. 27 peak, moving up to a trendline. Since past shares pulled backmost modestly successful choky fashion, ending the week conscionable beneath the 50-day line. On a play chart, it present has handle, giving it a 1,119.10 bargain constituent with a double-bottom base. TSLA banal could person a grip connected its regular illustration aft Monday, but Q4 deliveries could disrupt that.

China EV Deliveries

Nio, Xpeng and Li Auto reported December deliveries connected Saturday.

Nio delivered 10,489 vehicles, up 49.7% vs. a twelvemonth earlier, but down somewhat from November's 10,878. The EV shaper delivered 25,034 successful Q4, adjacent the precocious extremity of of its 23,500-25,500 target.

Xpeng deliveries changeable up 181% to 16,000 vehicles, a caller monthly grounds aft November's 15,613. For the quarter, Xpeng delivered 41,751 vehicles, easy beating its Q4 people of 34,500-36,500.

Li Auto delivered 14,087 Li One hybrid SUVs successful December, up 130% vs. a twelvemonth earlier. Q4 deliveries deed 35,221, good supra its 30,000-32,000 target.

Xpeng banal rallied 9% past week, with Li banal up 5.5%, some reclaiming their 50-day lines. Thursday's spikes could person been seen arsenic aboriginal entries successful emerging consolidations adjacent to anterior failed breakouts. But buying an assertive introduction successful a Chinese banal close astatine year-end and with December deliveries imminent seems similar piling hazard upon risk.

Nio banal changeable up 15% Thursday successful its heaviest measurement successful 9 months, advancing 3.8% for the week aft sinking to a 14-month debased connected Wednesday. Nio remains good beneath its 50-day and 200-day lines.

Meanwhile, BYD, which makes its ain batteries and chips, volition apt merchandise December income by the extremity of adjacent week. The EV and artillery giant sold 91,219 caller vigor vehicles successful November, up 241% vs. a twelvemonth earlier. Of that, 90,121 were idiosyncratic vehicles, up 253%. That included 46,137 EVs, up 153%, portion plug-in hybrids changeable up 500% to 43,984. It was the sixth consecutive period that BYD has accrued EV/hybrid income by astir 10,000.

However, China's strict lockdown of Xi'an state is apt affecting immoderate BYD production.

BYD banal rebounded connected Thursday, but inactive fell 1.6% for the week. It's hitting absorption astatine its 21-day line, with the 50-day enactment supra that.

China is cutting EV subsidies by 30% successful 2022, with that falling to zero aft that. That mightiness person helped substance request astatine the extremity of 2021 for BYD, Nio, Xpeng, Li Auto and Tesla, but it could measurement connected income successful aboriginal 2022. Tesla has raised its starting prices for the made-in-China Model 3 and Model Y, with the second nary longer eligible for subsidies.

AMD Stock

AMD banal fell 1.5% to 143.90 past week aft rising arsenic precocious arsenic 156.73 intraday Tuesday. The spot elephantine is moving connected a handle, though the consolidation is excessively abbreviated to beryllium due yet. Still, investors could usage 156.83 arsenic an aboriginal entry. However, AMD banal has been tricky, trending higher implicit the past fewer weeks but with immense gyrations. Buying person to the 50-day/10-week enactment mightiness beryllium safer.

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Datadog Stock

Datadog banal retreated 1.25% past week to 178.11. DDOG banal present has a grip connected a play chart. That creates a little authoritative bargain constituent of 186.38 — 10 cents supra Tuesday's high. On a regular chart, Datadog volition apt person a grip aft Monday.

Datadog banal began moving connected that grip aft hitting absorption astatine immoderate short-term levels. But shares held supra a caller trendline interruption and recovered enactment astatine their 50-day line. DDOG banal is inactive supra its 50-day line, which has converged with its 21-day enactment and is astir successful sync with the 10-day.

Market Rally Analysis

The banal marketplace rally closed 2021 with different quiescent league aft bullish gains earlier and conscionable aft Christmas. The large indexes trading tightly adjacent grounds highs, drifting somewhat lower, is steadfast action. This is letting starring stocks specified arsenic Tesla and Datadog forge handles.

Big institutions volition instrumentality successful unit successful 2022, portion galore investors that delayed selling banal earlier year-end for taxation reasons whitethorn propulsion the trigger. Early January tin present bully gains but besides immoderate crisp losses. So it's amended that stocks get successful presumption astatine year-end alternatively than nonstop a flurry of bargain signals that mightiness not past the caller year.

Overall, the large indexes are looking healthy. Market leadership, oregon astatine slightest imaginable leadership, is comparatively broad.

However, the Russell 2000 continues to deed absorption astatine its 200-day line. Market breadth, though improving astatine the extremity of 2021, remains tepid. Breadth was mediocre for astir of 2021, though that didn't halt the megacap tech-led rally successful the large indexes. Still, arsenic agelong arsenic breadth is narrow, it'll beryllium harder to find winning stocks and outperform the indexes.

Looking backmost connected 2021, the marketplace delivered coagulated gains, but the choppy enactment and assemblage rotation — on with constrictive enactment — made it hard to navigate. The S&P 500 led the Nasdaq, with megacaps fueling some indexes.

There wasn't needfully a "right" mode to commercialized successful 2021. Among notable IBD Live guests, Mark Minervini focused connected short-term trades. David Ryan played assemblage moves, often targeting non-tech companies. Charles Harris mostly stuck to a halfway position, Tesla, that helium had immense gains connected and heavy condemnation in. The cardinal is uncovering bully stocks and pursuing dependable trading rules that enactment for you.

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What To Do Now

Whether you are 100% successful currency oregon importantly invested, commencement the caller twelvemonth disconnected with a cleanable slate. Yes, you privation to larn lessons from your winning and losing trades, but don't bask successful the glories of large gains from 2021 oregon obsess implicit achy mistakes. Be mentally caller and unfastened for the caller twelvemonth and the caller opportunities that volition surely arise.

Develop your watchlists, looking for stocks successful bases with beardown comparative spot and awesome fundamentals. Pay adjacent attraction to the "N" successful CAN SLIM. Seek retired the caller products, services and ideas that tin make tremendous semipermanent growth.

Read The Big Picture every time to enactment successful sync with the marketplace absorption and starring stocks and sectors.

Please travel Ed Carson connected Twitter astatine @IBD_ECarson for banal marketplace updates and more.


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